Business and implementation plan

  AISA
  Afghanistan Unspecified 499
Date Posted:Mar 2, 2011
Reference:PSD/AISA-C23
Closing Date:Mar 16, 2011
Work Type:Unspecified
Number of Vacancies:1
Gender:Male
Functional Area:Management
Nationality:International
Salary Range:Salary is negotiable
Years of Experience:10 Years
Contract Duration:Not specified
Possibility of Contract Extension:No
Contract Type:Permanent
Probation Period:1 month
Required Languages:

About AISA:

 

Afghanistan Investment Support Agency (AISA) began as an agency that provided licenses to companies wishing to invest in Afghanistan. AISA has now evolved into a pro-active institution on promoting and attracting investment to Afghanistan. AISA, having its main office in Kabul and regional offices in Herat, Kandahar, Mazar-i-sharif, Nangharhar, Khost, Kunduz, Paktia, Faryab and Helmand province, delivers a wide range of services to investors all over the country.

Job Summary:

Nil

Duties & Responsibilities:

The International Consultant is already hired; the National Consultants are encouraged to apply.






Terms of Reference (TOR)

Business and Implementation Plan Consultant will carry out the following responsibilities:

Activity 1: Industry Sector Assessment

Based on the design work undertaken by NESPAK, the objective of this activity is two-fold: 1) to validate the target industry sectors for the proposed Industrial Park, and 2) to validate sector profiles for these industries, which will identify the land, utilities, and employment numbers for each sector. This information will feed into the demand projections and will validate the: i) size of land, ii) size of factory, iii) amount of water, iv) amount of electricity, and v) number of employees for each industry sector.

Deliverable:
1. Validation of target industry sectors for the Industrial park with accompanying industry sector profiles.

Activity 2: Demand Analysis

This demand analysis will build on the work already undertaken by AISA. AISA recently re-launched the application process for the Hesar i Shahi Industrial Park and around [300] enterprises have expressed an interest to locate in the Industrial Park.

Building on the Industry Sector Assessment, the consulting team will prepare a 10-year, detailed demand forecast for the industrial component of the Industrial Park. The demand forecast will identify the number, type and size (small, medium or large) of companies to move into the Industrial Park per year over a 10-year period, and will validate how much land and power each company will utilize and the number of staff they will employ. The demand projections shall be developed in three scenarios: i) a conservative case, ii) a base case, and iii) an aggressive case. The consultant will also analyze indirect employment creation. The methodology for the demand forecast and the assumptions for each scenario should be clearly stated in the final report. The consulting team’s demand forecast worksheets should also be placed in an Appendix within the final report for review.

Deliverable:
1. A 10-year, detailed demand forecast for the industrial component of the Industrial Park. Three scenarios will be presented that will identify the number, type and size of companies moving into the zone per year, over a 10-year period. It will also identify how much land and power each company will utilize and the number of staff they will employ.

Component 2: Economic and Financial Modelling (including land pricing)

The intent of this component is to ensure that the industrial component of this project is financially viable and provides economic benefits to the greater community.

Activity 1: Economic Model

In order to determine the economic benefits of the new Industrial Park, the consulting team will conduct an economic analysis of the zone, which will include examining direct/indirect costs and benefits to the government and society. The results will be a projected economic rate of return (ERR) over a 10-year period. In the consulting team’s proposal, it is expected that a methodology and an approach will be identified. This would include a list of potential economic indicators to be used in the model.

Deliverable:
1. A 10-year economic model for the Industrial Park that will illustrate the economic/social benefits to the government, as well as, provide an ERR for the entire Industrial Park project.

Activity 2: Financial Model

The consultants will develop a financial model and perform a financial analysis on the Industrial Park to determine its feasibility in the short, medium and long term (over a 10 year period). The financial model will examine capital expenditures, operating costs, product configuration and pricing and will also indicate the internal rate of return (IRR) of the project, as well as, undertake sensitivity analyzes. To ensure agreement, the financial model and all assumptions must be approved by AISA in advance of the work, and the worksheets must be available at the end of the project for review by AISA. Items to be undertaken in this task include, but should not be limited to:

• A financial model with balance sheets, income statements and cash flow requirements for the industrial component of the project over a period of 10-years
• Recommendations on a pricing policy for industrial plots and product configuration options (such as types and forms of leases and other services to be provided within the Industrial Park).
• Sensitivity analyzes on critical factors such as construction costs, demand and/or potential income fluctuations






Deliverable:
1. A financial model and sensitivity analyzes for the Industrial Park.
2. Recommendations on a pricing policy for industrial plots for the park .

Component 3: Institutional Framework

This component will review the present and proposed institutional framework for development and management of Industrial Parks in Afghanistan, as set in the Industrial Park Development Strategy drafted by AISA, in view of the latest developments . This component will propose a management arrangement for the Industrial Park, based on successful experiences in Afghanistan (such as the Bagrami Industrial Park, in Kabul).

Deliverable:
1. An outline of how the Hesar i Shahi Industrial Park will be managed and what will be the oversight mechanism.

Component 4: Implementation Action Plan

The implementation action plan is a step-by-step guide to the establishment of the Industrial Park.

This action plan will include:
• A detailed timeline for the establishment of the Industrial Park;
• Detailed procedures for the allocation of plots in the Industrial Park to ensure that the process is fair and transparent (this will build upon the allocation criteria already developed by AISA);

Deliverable:
1. A detailed timeline for the establishment of the Industrial Park;
2. Detailed procedures for the allocation of plots in the Industrial Park.

C. Reporting

The Consultant will report to AISA.

This feasibility study should be completed over a 3-month period. The following reporting schedule is required:

• An inception overview presentation: Key Issues, 2 weeks after start up.
• Interim report and presentation, Components 1 and 2, 4 weeks after start up.
• Final report on components 1 and 2 are required by end of April 2011.
• Interim report and presentation, components 3 and 4, by end of May.
• Final report on components 3 and 4 by mid June 2011

All components and their specific deliverables should be included in the final report. The final report should include an executive summary, a list of all acronyms, and graphics, charts, and tables.


Job Requirement:

Qualifications

D. Consultants’ Profiles

The International Consultant should have (minimum) a Masters in economics (or equivalent/relevant degree) with 10 years experience in Industrial Parks / Special Economic Zones, exceptional analytical abilities, excellent English communication, and strong writing skills. In addition, experience in undertaking similar analyses (demand study, economic and financial modelling, etc.) would be a key advantage.

The National Consultant should have (minimum) a bachelor degree in management, economics or a relevant field, with five years work experience, good knowledge of Pashto/Dari and English, and be able to assist the Int. Consultant with translation, interpretation and write-up as required.

Due to security reasons, it might not be possible for an international consultant to go to the Industrial Park site. The international consultant will therefore need to closely work with national counterparts who should be able to go to the Park.

AISA now invites eligible individual consultants to indicate their interest in providing the services. Interested consultants must provide information indicating that they are qualified to perform those services (CV, brochures, description of the similar assignments, experience in similar conditions and availability of appropriate skills).

A consultant will be selected in accordance with the procedures set out in section V of the World Bank’s Guidelines: Selection and Employment of Consultants by World Bank Borrowers (May 2004, Revised May, 2010).



Job Location:

Afghanistan
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